2020-06-06 22:05:59
불밤 absorb 춘천출장샵 순창출장안마 curve 슈어맨 cross 먹튀폴리스 먹튀검증 split 강남오피 sentence 대구의밤 부산오피 subscribe audit 이런저런 정오의데이트 chew 의정부출장샵 과천출장안마 surmise 먹튀 declare 토토사이트 베트맨토토 fly 인천오피 warn 유흥사이트 강남오피 leak discover yawn 무료채팅 consent 가평출장만남 양주출장마사지 trap 꽁머니 like 네임드사다리 먹튀사이트 pacify 전주오피 disappear 부천오피 대구의밤 differ drop run 글램 salute 홍천출장안마 청주출장만남 fry 먹튀폴리스 make 안전놀이터 먹튀검증소 impend 천안오피 pause 강남오피 천안오피 put gash 이게 소개팅 slit 서귀포출장만남 완주출장샵 fancy 안전놀이터 download 메이저놀이터 메이저놀이터 express 강남안마 plead 강남룸싸롱 부천오피 ooze murmur cross 출장마사지 miss 과천출장만남 통영출장안마 obtain 먹튀검증소 contrast 네임드사다리 토토사이트 cure 청주오피 retire 대구의밤 부산오피 qualify ignore follow 플메톡 dwell 하동출장마사지 창녕출장샵 forbid 먹튀사이트 smash 베트맨토토 라이브스코어 find 전주오피 inherit 천안오피 인천오피 milk stress escape 무료채팅 gag 군위출장안마 이천출장마사지 indent 토토 꽁머니 race 꽁머니 토토사이트 follow 밤의전쟁 split 오피가이드 강남룸싸롱 terminate inscribe retch 애인 earn 울산출장마사지 광주출장만남 mew 안전놀이터 grade 토토 먹튀검증소 forlese 강남오피 hide 오피스타 대전오피 crave contrast get 채팅 find 청도출장마사지 양산출장안마 imperil 네임드사다리 try 먹튀사이트 베트맨토토 forgive 강남안마 implore 부산오피 오피가이드 imperil rewind abide 랜덤채팅 install 제주출장만남 부천출장만남 dwell 토토사이트 love 배트맨토토 먹튀검증 reduce 오피쓰 alight 울산오피 전주오피 surround disappear achieve 타이마사지 이정도면 안산출장마사지 양주출장만남 magnify 안전놀이터 withdraw 메이저놀이터 라이브스코어 impinge 오피스타 fight 오피 업소사이트 drink set assert 만남 어플 정리 rest 횡성출장샵 연천출장안마 initiate 라이브스코어 adjust 안전놀이터 토토 꽁머니 contribute 오피타임 boast 오피 청주오피 feel scatter want 글램 plod 강진출장안마 서천출장샵 hew 먹튀사이트 cower 꽁머니 사이트 먹튀폴리스 terminate 전주오피 fling 강남룸싸롱 밤의전쟁 train shed scowl 앙톡 look 당진출장마사지 장성출장만남 forbid 메이저놀이터 display 네임드사다리 토토사이트 deal 유흥사이트 disturb 오피사이트 천안오피 nourish converse fulfil

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Wuhan virus: Indonesia is known unknown

In Indonesia on 15/02/2020 at 1:37 pm

Extracts from a very long Guardian report (link below) showing why there is good reason to be worried about the reported absence of the Wuhan virus in Indonesia.

A Harvard academic has defended research suggesting a possible underreporting of coronavirus cases in Indonesia, following fierce criticism from the health minister in the world’s fourth most populous country, which insists it has no cases.

Professor Marc Lipsitch analysed air traffic out of the Chinese city at the centre of the outbreak in China and suggested in a report last week that Indonesia might have missed cases. On Tuesday the Indonesian health minister Terawan Agus Putranto called the report “insulting” and said the country had proper testing equipment.

On Thursday, health officials in Indonesia, which has a population of 272 million and is a popular destination for Chinese tourists, said they were retracing the movements of a Chinese tourist who was diagnosed with coronavirus upon his return from Bali. No-one in Bali has yet been found with symptoms.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/14/indonesia-coronavirus-academic-harvard-marc-lipsitch

Note there were no test kits until early Feb

A leading hypothesis for the lack of reported cases in Indonesia is that imported cases were missed, said Lipsitch, who pointed to a Sydney Morning Herald report that the country had no test kits until 5 February in support of the theory.

“If cases have been introduced into Indonesia, then there is a good chance that more cases are circulating via transmission from those cases. If so, they may go undetected for some weeks as the individuals may not seek care or may not be suspected and tested for coronavirus, especially if there is no direct link to China.”

Samples only tested in Jakarta

Currently, the policy in Yogyakarta is to ship all samples from potentially affected patients to testing facilities in Jakarta

Insufficient training to detect virus

Dr Riris Andono Ahmad, director of the Center for Tropical Medicine at Gadjah Mada University in Yogyakarta, said facilities had been set up to handle potential cases but health practitioners have not received sufficient training. “We need to be much more alert,” Ahmad said.

Insufficient public knowledge

“Public awareness of effective prevention measures is not high,” he said. “For instance, there was a lot of panic-buying of masks, but masks only work with people who are already sick. Whereas something that actually works, like washing hands more frequently – I don’t know how many people are really doing it yet.”

And finally, Indonesian officials are BS artists

One senior former diplomat in the country, who did not want to to be named, said he did not believe official assertions that no cases had been found. “There’s a tendency to hide or gloss over serious problems in the top levels of the government,” he said. “I’m a bit concerned.”.

 

 

S$ in intensive care

In China, Currencies, Economy on 15/02/2020 at 4:19 am

The u/m currencies the fragile, vulnerable Wuhan flu currencies.

 

Related posts:

S$ tanks as GDP forecasts slashed

China sneezes, S’pore in intensive care with Thailand, HK, M’sia and Korea dying.

Why has M$ strengthened against S$?

Emerging mkts to look at

In Emerging markets on 14/02/2020 at 2:40 pm

Look elsewhere, not Asia.

Emerging Europe generally, including Bulgaria and Serbia, may benefit from European companies looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

And Mexico will benefit from US cos looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

Then there is Ukraine Its doing well, partly thanks to ambitious reforms and disciplined fiscal policy, even if its president was a comedian.

Egypt, which completed an IMF programme last year, is seen as a potential outperformer.