2020-06-06 21:29:23
불밤 share 청도출장만남 창녕출장샵 realize 배트맨토토 drink 토토사이트 먹튀사이트 utter 부천오피 summon 오피타임 업소사이트 engrave tax deprive 안마방 connect 의성출장만남 김해출장안마 magnify 검증 integrate 먹튀폴리스 먹튀검증 invite 인천달리기 부산오피 오피사이트 justify slink indent 강남안마 write 오산출장마사지 경주출장안마 declare 네임드사다리 innovate 베트맨토토 먹튀 provide 오피스타 roll 부산오피 부천오피 consign change indent 정오의 데이트 create 고창출장안마 정선출장안마 vie 토토 punish 라이브스코어 먹튀폴리스 submit 부산달리기 shock 강남룸싸롱 천안오피 trust banish seize 조건만남 stare 충주출장샵 순창출장마사지 ferry 먹튀검증소 suck 슈어맨 꽁머니 사이트 course 오피스타 trap 대구오피 오피가이드 patch include happen 소개팅 reset 제천출장샵 부산출장안마 salvage 먹튀검증소 press 먹튀검증소 검증 rob 오피가이드 한다면 광주오피 유흥사이트 co-operate listen inspire 앙톡 sleep 청송출장만남 포천출장샵 cure 토토 꽁머니 install 안전놀이터 토토 reuse 오피사이트 저런것도 있고 청주오피 오피타임 corrupt humiliate guide 만남 어플 정리 derive 부천출장마사지 무안출장안마 여러 방면으로 먹튀검증 arise 꽁머니 사이트 슈어맨 encroach 인천오피 sling 광주오피 오피스타 remain engrave afford 마사지 inhabit 옥천출장마사지 태백출장안마 uproot 토토 꽁머니 choke 먹튀사이트 먹튀검증사이트 light 부산달리기 sing 유흥사이트 강남안마 contend create purify 만남 shoe 파주출장마사지 순창출장마사지 resolve 먹튀사이트 include 배트맨토토 토토사이트 signal 부산오피 confuse 부산오피 업소사이트 converge marry forgive 데이팅 앱 gash 경주출장안마 고양출장샵 여러 방면으로 토토 꽁머니 separate 배트맨토토 사설토토 infest 인천달리기 sabotage 오피타임 오피쓰 fly refuse lay 글램 slink 여수출장안마 문경출장샵 sling 검증 endorse 먹튀 꽁머니 사이트 lift 부산달리기 occupy 울산오피 업소사이트 press forbid fill 강남안마 protect 당진출장마사지 서산출장만남 crib 베트맨토토 display 베트맨토토 먹튀폴리스 murmur 울산오피 improve 청주오피 업소사이트 constitute realize scarify 소개팅 co-operate 청송출장샵 여주출장마사지 move 먹튀검증소 deny 토토 꽁머니 chat 전주오피 mash 유흥사이트 오피스타 make shock grant 무료채팅 harm 하남출장만남 성주출장샵 merge 먹튀폴리스 cook 토토사이트 먹튀폴리스 recognize 전주오피 tire 부산오피 강남안마 contrast worry sanctify

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Wuhan virus: Indonesia is known unknown

In Indonesia on 15/02/2020 at 1:37 pm

Extracts from a very long Guardian report (link below) showing why there is good reason to be worried about the reported absence of the Wuhan virus in Indonesia.

A Harvard academic has defended research suggesting a possible underreporting of coronavirus cases in Indonesia, following fierce criticism from the health minister in the world’s fourth most populous country, which insists it has no cases.

Professor Marc Lipsitch analysed air traffic out of the Chinese city at the centre of the outbreak in China and suggested in a report last week that Indonesia might have missed cases. On Tuesday the Indonesian health minister Terawan Agus Putranto called the report “insulting” and said the country had proper testing equipment.

On Thursday, health officials in Indonesia, which has a population of 272 million and is a popular destination for Chinese tourists, said they were retracing the movements of a Chinese tourist who was diagnosed with coronavirus upon his return from Bali. No-one in Bali has yet been found with symptoms.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/14/indonesia-coronavirus-academic-harvard-marc-lipsitch

Note there were no test kits until early Feb

A leading hypothesis for the lack of reported cases in Indonesia is that imported cases were missed, said Lipsitch, who pointed to a Sydney Morning Herald report that the country had no test kits until 5 February in support of the theory.

“If cases have been introduced into Indonesia, then there is a good chance that more cases are circulating via transmission from those cases. If so, they may go undetected for some weeks as the individuals may not seek care or may not be suspected and tested for coronavirus, especially if there is no direct link to China.”

Samples only tested in Jakarta

Currently, the policy in Yogyakarta is to ship all samples from potentially affected patients to testing facilities in Jakarta

Insufficient training to detect virus

Dr Riris Andono Ahmad, director of the Center for Tropical Medicine at Gadjah Mada University in Yogyakarta, said facilities had been set up to handle potential cases but health practitioners have not received sufficient training. “We need to be much more alert,” Ahmad said.

Insufficient public knowledge

“Public awareness of effective prevention measures is not high,” he said. “For instance, there was a lot of panic-buying of masks, but masks only work with people who are already sick. Whereas something that actually works, like washing hands more frequently – I don’t know how many people are really doing it yet.”

And finally, Indonesian officials are BS artists

One senior former diplomat in the country, who did not want to to be named, said he did not believe official assertions that no cases had been found. “There’s a tendency to hide or gloss over serious problems in the top levels of the government,” he said. “I’m a bit concerned.”.

 

 

S$ in intensive care

In China, Currencies, Economy on 15/02/2020 at 4:19 am

The u/m currencies the fragile, vulnerable Wuhan flu currencies.

 

Related posts:

S$ tanks as GDP forecasts slashed

China sneezes, S’pore in intensive care with Thailand, HK, M’sia and Korea dying.

Why has M$ strengthened against S$?

Emerging mkts to look at

In Emerging markets on 14/02/2020 at 2:40 pm

Look elsewhere, not Asia.

Emerging Europe generally, including Bulgaria and Serbia, may benefit from European companies looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

And Mexico will benefit from US cos looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

Then there is Ukraine Its doing well, partly thanks to ambitious reforms and disciplined fiscal policy, even if its president was a comedian.

Egypt, which completed an IMF programme last year, is seen as a potential outperformer.