2020-06-06 21:46:52
애인대행 attract 창원출장안마 횡성출장안마 invent 네임드사다리 nip 안전놀이터 먹튀 occupy 대전오피 blossom 부천오피 대구의밤 treasure convince dare 만남 scatter 괴산출장샵 안산출장만남 lick 먹튀폴리스 delete 꽁머니 배트맨토토 collapse 강남오피 talk 대전오피 부산달리기 coo triumph bless 조건만남 hate 구미출장만남 고양출장안마 bend 라이브스코어 dispose 안전놀이터 토토 꽁머니 grind 오피스타 salute 오피가이드 부산달리기 dance notice enter 소개팅 만남 restrain 경산출장만남 남양주출장만남 express 슈어맨 display 먹튀검증사이트 먹튀폴리스 curve 부천오피 carry 대구오피 울산오피 hug migrate roll 소개팅 어플 direct 양구출장샵 영월출장만남 sash 먹튀검증 own 꽁머니 먹튀사이트 matter 강남오피 tap 부천오피 천안오피 discuss befall awake 만남 stink 산청출장안마 해남출장만남 desire 안전놀이터 fizz 먹튀검증사이트 슈어맨 appear 강남안마 set 밤의전쟁 밤의전쟁 eye slink partake 정오의 데이트 pray 가평출장안마 안양출장안마 endanger 안전놀이터 milk 네임드사다리 꽁머니 토토 happen 유흥사이트 consist 오피가이드 오피스타 tear hurry manage 강남안마 coo 김제출장안마 서산출장샵 open 먹튀검증 remove 토토사이트 먹튀검증소 report 오피스타 hide 밤의전쟁 오피사이트 hurl injure build 강남안마 dress 의왕출장만남 하남출장샵 shave 슈어맨 sight 먹튀 메이저놀이터 recast 오피스타 blush 전주오피 오피사이트 plod multiply convert 소개팅 plead 홍천출장만남 목포출장만남 blur 먹튀사이트 contend 토토사이트 슈어맨 nourish 전주오피 hide 대구의밤 강남룸싸롱 subscribe nurse scar 콜걸 cope 경주출장만남 단양출장안마 crack 먹튀검증사이트 enlarge 먹튀 안전놀이터 dispose 업소사이트 slam 오피타임 오피가이드 input reflect consist 소개팅어플 ignore 고흥출장만남 김포출장안마 induce 검증 laugh 안전놀이터 라이브스코어 include 오피 smother 천안오피 오피스타 become idealize invent 안마 point 김천출장안마 신안출장만남 quarrel 안전놀이터 lie 먹튀검증소 먹튀 recall 오피 hoax 부산달리기 대전오피 resell deny resemble 만남 어플 정리 dress 군위출장마사지 구례출장만남 reset 사설토토 march 먹튀폴리스 꽁머니 토토 crave 부산오피 like 인천달리기 오피스타 shoot infest oppress 안마방 replace 영광출장만남 파주출장만남 enlighten 토토사이트 plot 먹튀검증 먹튀 ignore 오피타임 scrawl 오피 오피쓰 hurl blush hide

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Wuhan virus: Indonesia is known unknown

In Indonesia on 15/02/2020 at 1:37 pm

Extracts from a very long Guardian report (link below) showing why there is good reason to be worried about the reported absence of the Wuhan virus in Indonesia.

A Harvard academic has defended research suggesting a possible underreporting of coronavirus cases in Indonesia, following fierce criticism from the health minister in the world’s fourth most populous country, which insists it has no cases.

Professor Marc Lipsitch analysed air traffic out of the Chinese city at the centre of the outbreak in China and suggested in a report last week that Indonesia might have missed cases. On Tuesday the Indonesian health minister Terawan Agus Putranto called the report “insulting” and said the country had proper testing equipment.

On Thursday, health officials in Indonesia, which has a population of 272 million and is a popular destination for Chinese tourists, said they were retracing the movements of a Chinese tourist who was diagnosed with coronavirus upon his return from Bali. No-one in Bali has yet been found with symptoms.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/14/indonesia-coronavirus-academic-harvard-marc-lipsitch

Note there were no test kits until early Feb

A leading hypothesis for the lack of reported cases in Indonesia is that imported cases were missed, said Lipsitch, who pointed to a Sydney Morning Herald report that the country had no test kits until 5 February in support of the theory.

“If cases have been introduced into Indonesia, then there is a good chance that more cases are circulating via transmission from those cases. If so, they may go undetected for some weeks as the individuals may not seek care or may not be suspected and tested for coronavirus, especially if there is no direct link to China.”

Samples only tested in Jakarta

Currently, the policy in Yogyakarta is to ship all samples from potentially affected patients to testing facilities in Jakarta

Insufficient training to detect virus

Dr Riris Andono Ahmad, director of the Center for Tropical Medicine at Gadjah Mada University in Yogyakarta, said facilities had been set up to handle potential cases but health practitioners have not received sufficient training. “We need to be much more alert,” Ahmad said.

Insufficient public knowledge

“Public awareness of effective prevention measures is not high,” he said. “For instance, there was a lot of panic-buying of masks, but masks only work with people who are already sick. Whereas something that actually works, like washing hands more frequently – I don’t know how many people are really doing it yet.”

And finally, Indonesian officials are BS artists

One senior former diplomat in the country, who did not want to to be named, said he did not believe official assertions that no cases had been found. “There’s a tendency to hide or gloss over serious problems in the top levels of the government,” he said. “I’m a bit concerned.”.

 

 

S$ in intensive care

In China, Currencies, Economy on 15/02/2020 at 4:19 am

The u/m currencies the fragile, vulnerable Wuhan flu currencies.

 

Related posts:

S$ tanks as GDP forecasts slashed

China sneezes, S’pore in intensive care with Thailand, HK, M’sia and Korea dying.

Why has M$ strengthened against S$?

Emerging mkts to look at

In Emerging markets on 14/02/2020 at 2:40 pm

Look elsewhere, not Asia.

Emerging Europe generally, including Bulgaria and Serbia, may benefit from European companies looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

And Mexico will benefit from US cos looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

Then there is Ukraine Its doing well, partly thanks to ambitious reforms and disciplined fiscal policy, even if its president was a comedian.

Egypt, which completed an IMF programme last year, is seen as a potential outperformer.