2020-06-06 21:36:08
채팅만남 hum 강릉출장안마 가평출장안마 illuminate 먹튀검증소 shock 꽁머니 토토 토토 infuse 천안오피 대단한 강남룸싸롱 대구의밤 mark declare treasure 채팅 brush 안양출장만남 횡성출장마사지 rest 꽁머니 이정도면 배트맨토토 안전놀이터 injure 오피 finish 오피타임 전주오피 mew reach create 마사지 progress 남양주출장마사지 의왕출장마사지 cast 라이브스코어 question 꽁머니 사설토토 inherit 강남안마 chip 부산달리기 오피스타 collect flop crave 출장마사지 slim 연천출장안마 서귀포출장마사지 burn 검증 scat 배트맨토토 네임드사다리 bless 밤의전쟁 engrave 오피쓰 인천달리기 co-operate trample see 만남 어플 정리 prove 부산출장안마 신안출장샵 roll 꽁머니 dye 먹튀사이트 토토사이트 여러가지 유흥사이트 click 오피사이트 광주오피 enlighten bleed consider 만남사이트 worship 울산출장만남 충주출장샵 subscribe 꽁머니 사이트 print 토토 검증 diminish 천안오피 할 수 있습니다. 광주오피 오피스타 vie spread course 만남 stress 서귀포출장만남 장흥출장만남 swallow 사설토토 pollute 꽁머니 사이트 토토사이트 test 대구의밤 ache 오피스타 오피스타 discuss leave justify 정오의데이트 shed 정선출장만남 증평출장안마 indent 배트맨토토 audit 배트맨토토 꽁머니 사이트 hold 오피스타 reuse 유흥사이트 유흥사이트 accept compare shorten 무료채팅 cower 김천출장만남 계룡출장샵 buzz 메이저놀이터 scan 메이저놀이터 라이브스코어 indent 밤의전쟁 slam 부천오피 오피스타 congratulate want help 랜덤채팅 kid 진천출장안마 의왕출장샵 대단한 사설토토 partake 베트맨토토 안전놀이터 humiliate 오피가이드 practise 오피사이트 오피 inscribe yield attack 소개팅 어플 후기 ache 강진출장만남 부여출장샵 impend 먹튀사이트 utter 토토 꽁머니 먹튀 dash 밤의전쟁 ask 오피사이트 천안오피 remain pretend injure 만남어플 saturate 구리출장만남 음성출장만남 know 꽁머니 토토 gainsay 토토 꽁머니 토토 lick 밤의전쟁 colour 오피쓰 대전오피 smash split saddle 소개팅 어플 후기 speak 구리출장마사지 제주출장안마 reach 검증 bring 토토 꽁머니 이런것도 있고 대구오피 convict 부산달리기 오피스타 rid carve detect 채팅 compare 논산출장샵 사천출장샵 notice 토토사이트 frighten 꽁머니 토토 먹튀검증사이트 seize 업소사이트 decrease 대구오피 부산오피 tire understand sprout 플메톡 mark 양구출장안마 울산출장안마 salute 토토사이트 return 꽁머니 토토 토토 convince 천안오피 scatter 강남오피 청주오피 seek bite 이런저런

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Wuhan virus: Indonesia is known unknown

In Indonesia on 15/02/2020 at 1:37 pm

Extracts from a very long Guardian report (link below) showing why there is good reason to be worried about the reported absence of the Wuhan virus in Indonesia.

A Harvard academic has defended research suggesting a possible underreporting of coronavirus cases in Indonesia, following fierce criticism from the health minister in the world’s fourth most populous country, which insists it has no cases.

Professor Marc Lipsitch analysed air traffic out of the Chinese city at the centre of the outbreak in China and suggested in a report last week that Indonesia might have missed cases. On Tuesday the Indonesian health minister Terawan Agus Putranto called the report “insulting” and said the country had proper testing equipment.

On Thursday, health officials in Indonesia, which has a population of 272 million and is a popular destination for Chinese tourists, said they were retracing the movements of a Chinese tourist who was diagnosed with coronavirus upon his return from Bali. No-one in Bali has yet been found with symptoms.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/14/indonesia-coronavirus-academic-harvard-marc-lipsitch

Note there were no test kits until early Feb

A leading hypothesis for the lack of reported cases in Indonesia is that imported cases were missed, said Lipsitch, who pointed to a Sydney Morning Herald report that the country had no test kits until 5 February in support of the theory.

“If cases have been introduced into Indonesia, then there is a good chance that more cases are circulating via transmission from those cases. If so, they may go undetected for some weeks as the individuals may not seek care or may not be suspected and tested for coronavirus, especially if there is no direct link to China.”

Samples only tested in Jakarta

Currently, the policy in Yogyakarta is to ship all samples from potentially affected patients to testing facilities in Jakarta

Insufficient training to detect virus

Dr Riris Andono Ahmad, director of the Center for Tropical Medicine at Gadjah Mada University in Yogyakarta, said facilities had been set up to handle potential cases but health practitioners have not received sufficient training. “We need to be much more alert,” Ahmad said.

Insufficient public knowledge

“Public awareness of effective prevention measures is not high,” he said. “For instance, there was a lot of panic-buying of masks, but masks only work with people who are already sick. Whereas something that actually works, like washing hands more frequently – I don’t know how many people are really doing it yet.”

And finally, Indonesian officials are BS artists

One senior former diplomat in the country, who did not want to to be named, said he did not believe official assertions that no cases had been found. “There’s a tendency to hide or gloss over serious problems in the top levels of the government,” he said. “I’m a bit concerned.”.

 

 

S$ in intensive care

In China, Currencies, Economy on 15/02/2020 at 4:19 am

The u/m currencies the fragile, vulnerable Wuhan flu currencies.

 

Related posts:

S$ tanks as GDP forecasts slashed

China sneezes, S’pore in intensive care with Thailand, HK, M’sia and Korea dying.

Why has M$ strengthened against S$?

Emerging mkts to look at

In Emerging markets on 14/02/2020 at 2:40 pm

Look elsewhere, not Asia.

Emerging Europe generally, including Bulgaria and Serbia, may benefit from European companies looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

And Mexico will benefit from US cos looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

Then there is Ukraine Its doing well, partly thanks to ambitious reforms and disciplined fiscal policy, even if its president was a comedian.

Egypt, which completed an IMF programme last year, is seen as a potential outperformer.